Gulmarg Region

Issued
Friday, February 22, 2019 - 3:33PM UTC
Expires
Saturday, February 23, 2019 - 3:33PM UTC
Author
brian
Danger level 3
THE BOTTOM LINE

The combination of storm snow and high winds has added a very large load test to the alpine snowpack.  Certain areas may still hang in the balance.  Two scenarios exist.  The likely triggering of small to large slab avalanches by a single rider on North aspects.  The possible triggering of a very large avalanche on the same aspects at a deeper persistent yet durable layer.

Avalanche Danger

Friday, February 22, 2019
Above Treeline 3 - Considerable
Near Treeline 2 - Moderate
Below Treeline 1 - Low

Danger Scale

1 - 1 - Low
2 - 2 - Moderate
3 - 3 - Considerable
4 - 4 - High
5 - 5 - Extreme

Avalanche Problems (2)

Problem #1: Wind Slab

Problem Type
Wind Slab
Wind Slab
Aspect/Elevation
Above Treeline
Near Treeline
Below Treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely
Possible
Likely
Very Likely
Certain
Size
Small (D1)
Large (D2)
Very Large (D3)
Historic (D4-5)

Problem #2: Persistent Slab

Problem Type
Persistent Slab
Persistent Slab
Aspect/Elevation
Above Treeline
Near Treeline
Below Treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely
Possible
Likely
Very Likely
Certain
Size
Small (D1)
Large (D2)
Very Large (D3)
Historic (D4-5)

This avalanche problem is the cause of an extraordinary load introduced by high winds combined with heavy snowfall.  Although less likely, a balanced weakness may be triggered by an additional large load (like a poorly managed group) producing a very large and likely unsurviveable avalanche.  

Forecast Discussion

Expect some delay this morning in the opening of second phase due to snow removal.  A loaned snow groomer is expected to provide grooming facilites today in both phases.  Ski patrol will work to open both chairlift and second phase today.  

Recent Avalanche Activity

A very  large avalanche occured Thursday evening in the alpine region of the ski area at Gulmarg.  The ski area had been closed for two days during this period in observation of the special avalanche advisory issued by the Gulmarg Avalanche Center on Monday.  Any investigation conducted by forecaster Brian Newman will be posted here.  

Mountain Weather

Snow Forecast

View detailed snow forecast for Gulmarg at:
snow-forecast.com

This avalanche advisory is provided through a partnership between the Jammu and Kashmir State Department of  Tourism and the Gulmarg Avalanche Center. This advisory covers the Pir Pinjal range accessible from the Gulmarg Ski Area. Click here for a map of the forecast area.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory expires 24 hours after the posted time unless otherwise noted. The information in this advisory is provided as public a service.  The user of this information accepts all risks and responsibility. ​